In partnership with
The market has already priced how far the USA goes.
That's not a prediction. It's a live price updating with every match. On Kalshi, the only federally regulated prediction market exchange in the US and official regional partner of the Argentine National Team, every World Cup outcome is tradeable in real time. Who advances. Who scores first. Which match goes to penalties. You buy "Yes" or "No" shares. Earn returns if you're right. Peer-to-peer, no house, cash out anytime. Trade $10, get $10 free to start.
Trade responsibly.
A WORD FROM OUR SPONSOR, MASTERS OF TRIVIA
Trivia is more than a game; it’s a global tradition of knowledge and competition. Masters of Trivia’s tournaments have gone live, with 30 fast, multiple-choice questions. Most correct wins. Speed breaks ties. Compete worldwide for a $MOT token prize purse, plus valuable in-kind prizes.
Get the entry link and reminders by email — subscribe free at PlayMOT.
—— ON THIS DAY ——
JULY 2, 1937
Near Howland Island, Pacific Ocean
88 years ago
Amelia Earhart — the record-setting aviator who vanished over the Pacific on July 2, 1937, during the most ambitious flight of her career: a circumnavigation of the globe along the equatorial route.
On July 2, 1937, Amelia Earhart and her navigator Fred Noonan took off from Lae, New Guinea, in a twin-engine Lockheed Electra, heading for Howland Island — a tiny coral island in the central Pacific, 2,556 miles away. They never arrived. Their last confirmed radio transmissions, received by the US Coast Guard cutter Itasca stationed off Howland, indicated they were running low on fuel and could not find the island. Then silence. The most famous female pilot in the world had vanished.
Earhart was thirty-nine and at the height of her fame. She had been the first woman to fly solo across the Atlantic (1932), had set multiple aviation records, and had used her celebrity to advocate for women in aviation and beyond. The round-the-world flight was to be her crowning achievement — at 29,000 miles, the longest circumnavigation ever attempted, following the equator. She had completed roughly 22,000 miles when she disappeared.
—— MARQUEE EVENT ——
Earhart's Lockheed Electra 10E — the twin-engine aircraft in which she and navigator Fred Noonan disappeared somewhere over the central Pacific, having completed two-thirds of their around-the-world journey.
The search that followed was the largest and most expensive in American history to that point. President Roosevelt authorized a search involving nine naval ships and 66 aircraft, covering 250,000 square miles of ocean over two weeks. Nothing was found. On July 19, 1937, the search was called off. Earhart and Noonan were declared lost at sea. Earhart was legally declared dead in January 1939.
The disappearance has generated theories for nearly nine decades. The most widely accepted explanation among aviation historians is the simplest: the aircraft ran out of fuel, crashed into the ocean near Howland Island, and sank. A competing theory holds that Earhart and Noonan landed on uninhabited Gardner Island (now Nikumaroro), survived for a time as castaways, and died there — supported by artifacts and bone fragments found on the island, though none have been conclusively linked to Earhart. A third theory, that they were captured by the Japanese, is regarded as implausible by most historians.
The mystery has driven dozens of expeditions, forensic studies, and documentaries. Deep-sea sonar searches near Howland, archaeological digs on Nikumaroro, and analyses of contemporary radio logs have all produced suggestive but inconclusive results. As of 2025, no wreckage of the Electra has been definitively identified. Earhart's fate remains one of the most enduring mysteries of the twentieth century.
—— WHY THIS MATTERS ——
Earhart's disappearance overshadowed but did not diminish her genuine achievements. Before she vanished, she had set numerous aviation records and had become the most visible advocate for women's capability in a field dominated by men. Her record stands independently of the mystery of her death.
The search established precedents for large-scale rescue operations. The unprecedented scale of the 1937 search — coordinating naval and air assets across vast ocean distances — informed later air-sea rescue doctrine, even though it failed to find her.
The enduring mystery reflects something about how the public processes the loss of celebrated figures. The refusal to accept the simplest explanation, and the persistent search for alternative narratives, is a recurring pattern in how cultures respond to the unexplained deaths of the famous.
—— THE TAKEAWAY ——
On July 2, 1937, the most famous pilot in the world ran low on fuel over the Pacific, couldn't find a tiny island, and vanished. The largest search in American history found nothing. Eighty-eight years and dozens of expeditions later, we still don't know exactly what happened to Amelia Earhart.
—— QUOTE OF THE DAY ——
"We must be on you, but cannot see you. Gas is running low."
— Amelia Earhart, among her final radio transmissions, July 2, 1937
—— OUR QUIZ OF THE DAY ——
How much do you know about Amelia Earhart's final flight, the radio transmissions from her last hours, the competing theories about her disappearance, and the searches that have continued for nearly nine decades?
